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binf_shinana

binf_shinana

まあ、このゲームにおいて確率が記載どおりでないケースはいくつか実際にあります。統計を取って明らかにおかしい結果になった事象もありました。

つまり、確率が数値通りでないことを証明するには有意な数で統計を取る必要があります。人間の体感ほどあてにならないものはありません。勝率70~80%程度で「五分五分のゲームである」と感じる生き物だからです。

 

(google translation)

Well, there are actually some cases in this game where the probabilities are not as stated. There were some events where the statistics showed clearly strange results.

In other words, in order to prove that the probability is not the same as the numerical value, it is necessary to take statistics with significant numbers. There is nothing more unreliable than human experience. This is because the winning rate is around 70-80%, making it feel like a 50-50 game.

binf_shinana

binf_shinana

まあ、このゲームにおいて確率が記載どおりでない場合は実は結構あります。いくつか統計を取って明らかにおかしかった事象もありました。
確率が数値通りでないことを証明するには有意な数で統計を取る必要があります。人間の体感ほどあてにならないものはありません。勝率70~80%程度で「五分五分のゲームである」と感じる生き物だからです。

 

(google translation)

Well, there are actually quite a few cases in which the probabilities in this game are not as stated. There were some events that were clearly strange when we looked at the statistics.
In order to prove that the probability is not the same as the numerical value, it is necessary to take statistics with significant numbers. There is nothing more unreliable than human experience. This is because the winning rate is around 70-80%, making it feel like a 50-50 game.

binf_shinana

binf_shinana

まあ、このゲームにおいて確率が記載どおりでない場合は実は結構あります。いくつか統計を取って明らかにおかしかった事象もありました。
ただし、確率が数値通りでないことを証明するには有意な数で統計を取る必要があります。人間の体感ほどあてにならないものはありません。勝率70~80%程度で「五分五分のゲームである」と感じる生き物だからです。

 

(google translation)

Well, there are actually quite a few cases in which the probabilities in this game are not as stated. There were some events that were clearly strange when we looked at the statistics.
However, in order to prove that the probability is not the same as the numerical value, it is necessary to take statistics with significant numbers. There is nothing more unreliable than human experience. This is because the winning rate is around 70-80%, making it feel like a 50-50 game.

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